jismart2023021: Research on the Temporal and Spatial Dynamics of Carbon Emissions in Counties of Zhejiang Province

Abstract

As new urbanization progresses, counties play a pivotal role. Investigating the temporal and spatial dynamics of carbon emissions in counties is essential for refining the new urbanization strategy, realizing carbon neutrality and peak carbon goals, and addressing the call for low-carbon sustainable development. Based on carbon emission data from 89 counties in Zhejiang Province from 2000 to 2020, this article employs methods like LISA time path, temporal transition, and standard deviation ellipse to analyze the temporal and spatial dynamics of carbon emissions in Zhejiang's counties. The findings indicate that the number of counties with a low relative length is increasing from 34 between 2000-2012 to 44 between 2013-2020. Overall, from 2000-2020, Zhejiang's counties exhibit a spatial pattern of carbon emissions that is relatively stable, with the western and southern regions being the most consistent. When comparing two time periods, the number of counties with coordinated high growth and coordinated low growth only differs by three, suggesting a particular spatial integration and a generally stable trend. LISA time transition analysis reveals that the spatial accumulation of carbon emissions in Zhejiang's counties possesses a relatively high path dependence, and the spatial distribution of carbon emissions is relatively stable. The standard deviation ellipse analysis shows that the core area of carbon emissions in Zhejiang's counties from 2000-2020 primarily fluctuates between 120.551°~120.571°E and 29.555°~29.617°N, presenting a northeast-southwest pattern.