JAUE2012-005: MSW Generation Amount Forecast in Changchun City

Abstract

The use of gray relational analysis method calculated the degree of association between waste production and the impact factor, Changchun City waste output prediction model GM (1.5) and GM (1,1) model, and 2010-2020the waste output of Changchun City were predicted. The results show that the waste output which based on gray theory prediction model has small residuals, good accuracy, as well as the higher the correlation, the model can predict the waste output of Changchun. Accordding to predictions, City garbage production ofChangchun was 228.67x104t in 2020.